Q9 · UPSC Civil Services Mains 2015 · GS I · 12 marks · 2 min read

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Critically examine whether growing population is the cause of poverty OR poverty is the mains cause of population increase in India.

Topic: Women, Population and Urbanisation. Syllabus: Role of women and women’s organization, population and associated issues, poverty and developmental issues, urbanization, their problems and their remedies. Same official PYQ from year-wise 2015 and Women, Population and Urbanisation.

Revision summary

Extra people strain land and services when growth of jobs is slow. Poverty, child mortality, and early marriage keep fertility high as household insurance. Kerala shows social development can cut births without being the richest state. Coercion without security fails as a population policy. The link is two-way; poverty and gender are the main drivers of increase, and numbers then deepen scarcity.

Model answer

Copper italics in this answer — like this — are the key facts. Each one is unpacked in the Facts & figures rail.

Introduction

India has been described both as poor because it is crowded and as crowded because it is poor. Neither slogan is enough. High fertility has strained land and services, and poverty, low female schooling, and weak social security have kept fertility high. The honest examination is a cycle, with poverty as the stronger first driver of extra births, and population growth then making poverty harder to exit.

Body

Population as a cause of poverty

  • Rapid growth after the 1950s meant more claimants on farmland, water, schools, and jobs, which can cut per-person resources when output grows slowly.
  • A young age structure needs more clinics and classrooms before those children become workers, a dependency burden that Malthusian writers stress.
  • In poor states, large families can split holdings and push migrants into low-wage informal work, so numbers bite where there is already little capital.

Poverty as a cause of population increase

  • Poor households often want more children as labour, old-age support, and insurance against child death, which is why fertility stays higher where infant mortality and casual work are high.
  • Low female literacy, early marriage, and weak contraceptive access in parts of BIMARU-era Hindi heartland kept total fertility above replacement long after Kerala and Tamil Nadu fell.
  • The demographic transition in India followed education, health, and women’s work more than a sudden love of small families among the rich only; poverty delayed that transition.
  • Coercive sterilisation in 1975–77 showed that force without reducing poverty and fear does not build a stable small-family norm.

Critical balance

  • Kerala, with lower income than some northern states at times, cut fertility through health and literacy, which weakens a crude “poverty always means more babies” line and still shows social development, not income alone.
  • China’s one-child path and India’s slower fall both show policy and gender matter, not destiny.
  • Today’s falling national fertility means future poverty will depend more on jobs, inequality, and climate than on a rising birth rate, even while some districts still have high TFR.

Way forward

  • Reject either–or: poverty and gender inequality fuel births; extra births then crowd services.
  • Way forward in policy is female schooling, child survival, decent work, and voluntary family planning, not blame of the poor for existing.

Flow diagram

flowchart TD
  P[Poverty low female schooling] --> F[High fertility]
  F --> N[More claimants on land jobs]
  N[N] --> P[P]
  H[Health literacy work] --> L[Lower TFR]
  L --> E[Easier poverty exit]

Conclusion

Growing population has made Indian poverty harder to clear, but poverty, child death, and women’s lack of power have been the main engines of high fertility. Treat the pair as a loop, and break it with health and education rather than with a single cause.

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