Q6(b) · UPSC Civil Services Mains 2022 · PSIR GS 2 · 15 marks · 1 min read

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Critically examine the major factors responsible for a turnaround in the trajectory of India's foreign policy in the post-cold war period

Topic: Recent developments in Indian Foreign policy. Syllabus: Recent developments in Indian Foreign policy: India’s position on the recent crisis in Afghanistan, Iraq and West Asia, growing relations with US and Israel; vision of a new world order. Same official PYQ from year-wise 2022 and Recent developments in Indian Foreign policy.

Revision summary

Soviet collapse and the 1991 crisis forced an economic and diplomatic reset. Look East and later Act East opened a second geography. The 1998 tests and the US civil nuclear path recast status and technology access. China’s rise pushed hedging without a NATO choice. NAM vocabulary survived inside a wider multi-alignment.

Model answer

Introduction

The Cold War’s end removed the bipolar frame in which Indian non-alignment had been easiest to explain. The 1990s turnaround was toward economic opening, Look East, and later a US nuclear path, without a formal alliance.

Body

Structural factors

  • Soviet collapse cut a diplomatic and arms pillar. Waltzian polarity change forced adaptation.
  • The 1991 balance-of-payments crisis tied foreign policy to markets, the IMF moment, and later WTO entry.
  • Unipolarity, then China’s rise, recast threat and opportunity.

Domestic and leadership factors

  • Economic reforms made trade, oil, and investment first-order diplomatic goals.
  • Look East under Narasimha Rao, nuclear tests in 1998, the Pokhran-to-NSG path, and the India–US civil nuclear breakthrough were sequential bets on status and technology.
  • Coalition politics and a growing diaspora in the West pulled policy toward Washington without erasing Moscow.

Ideas

  • From NAM as the centre of gravity toward strategic autonomy and multi-alignment.
  • Gujral’s neighbourhood doctrine, Vajpayee’s US opening, and later Act East named the turn.

Critical caution

  • Russia, NAM summits, and Global South language never vanished. The turnaround is mix, not a conversion to a US ally.
  • 1998 tests angered the West before they enabled the later nuclear bargain. Trajectory was jagged.
  • China policy oscillated between partnership slogans and border military crisis.

Flow diagram

flowchart TD
  CW[Cold War end 1991 crisis] --> T[Policy turnaround]
  LE[Look East] --> T
  N[1998 tests US nuclear path] --> T
  C[China rise] --> T

Conclusion

Post-Cold War Indian foreign policy turned because polarity, bankruptcy risk, and China’s rise made old single-track non-alignment insufficient. Reforms, Look East, 1998, and the US nuclear path are the markers. Autonomy remained the stated end. The partner set widened.

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