Q14 · UPSC current affairs · 13 October 2026 · PIB · IMD WebGIS Decision Support System for Cyclone Warning

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In meteorological forecasting, what does the term 'Cone of Uncertainty' typically represent?

A The geographical zone affected by severe drought conditions
B The atmospheric boundary layer where temperature inversion occurs
C The probable track and future location of the center of a tropical cyclone
D The radar blind spot caused by heavy convective precipitation

Correct answer: (c) The probable track and future location of the center of a tropical cyclone

Explanation

The 'Cone of Uncertainty' is a graphical representation used in weather forecasting to show the probable track and future position of the center of a tropical cyclone based on historical forecast errors. Options A, C, and D are incorrect descriptions.

Same topic · past papers

UPSC has asked this before

These previous-year questions sit on the same topic. Open one to practise the earlier ask.

  1. 2022 · Q5 · GS I · 10 marks

    Discuss the meaning of colour-coded weather warnings for cyclone prone areas given by India Meteorological department.

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  2. 2020 · Q99 · General Studies · 2 marks

    Consider the following statements: 1. Jet streams occur in the Northern Hemisphere only. 2. Only some cyclones develop an eye. 3. The temperature inside the eye of a cyclone is nearly 10°C lesser than that of the surroundings. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

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  3. 2015 · Q5 · General Studies · 2 marks

    In the South Atlantic and South-Eastern Pacific regions in tropical latitudes, cyclone does not originate. What is the reason?

    View answer →

  4. 2026 · Q52 · General Studies · 2 marks

    In a multi-ethnic district where both economic competition and historical grievances frequently led to community tensions, a flashpoint has arisen with a Government decision to allocate land for a waste management facility near a tribal hamlet, sparking protests by the tribal community, which claimed that the land was sacred and critical to their cultural identity. At the same time, urban residents and local industries supported the project, citing severe solid waste challenges and health concerns due to lack of a proper disposal site. The conflict has escalated with road blockades, social media campaigns, and allegations of police excesses. As a responsible Government official, you are tasked with resolving the situation through mediation, ensuring a sustainable outcome that balances environmental needs, tribal rights, and urban public health. Consider the following statements with reference to the above: 1. A successful conflict resolution process must begin with acknowledging the cultural concerns of the protesting tribal community before discussing technical alternatives. 2. The Government should move ahead with the project without delay to address urban health concerns, which outweigh the sentiments of a small group. 3. Creating a multi-stakeholder dialogue platform - including tribal leaders, environmental experts, and municipal representatives - to build mutual understanding and help de-escalate tensions. 4. Conducting an independent Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) and sharing findings transparently with both sides to facilitate evidence-based decision-making. Which of the statements given above would contribute to the resolution process?

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  5. 2025 · Q3 · GS III · 10 marks

    Explain the factors influencing the decision of the farmers on the selection of high value crops in India.

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