Q5 · UPPSC PCS Mains 2025 · GS III · 8 marks · ~125 words in the hall · 1 min read

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"Jobless Growth" is a major concern for the Indian economy. In this backdrop, analyze the reasons behind the "stagnation of employment elasticity" in the manufacturing sector.

Topic: Poverty, unemployment and inclusive growth. Syllabus: Issues of Poverty, Unemployment, Social justice and inclusive growth. Same official PYQ from year-wise 2025 and Poverty, unemployment and inclusive growth.

Revision summary

Jobless growth is output rising faster than employment. Manufacturing elasticity is extra jobs per extra output, and it has been weak. Automation, imported machines, and capital-heavy sectors hire fewer workers. Contract labour and skill gaps also keep organised factory jobs from rising with output. Labour-intensive lines face import competition, which further flattens hiring.

Model answer

Introduction

Jobless growth means output rises faster than jobs. In India this worry is sharpest in manufacturing, where employment elasticity — extra jobs per extra unit of output — has been weak for years.

Body

Why elasticity stagnated in manufacturing

  • Factories have become more capital- and machine-intensive; automation and imported machinery raise output without a matching rise in shop-floor jobs.
  • Labour laws, contract labour, and inspection fear pushed many firms toward machines or toward tiny informal units that do not show up as organised manufacturing jobs.
  • Skill mismatch leaves vacancies beside unemployment: assembly and precision work need training that schools often do not give.
  • Import competition in labour-intensive lines such as garments, footwear, and electronics assembly limits expansion of mass hiring.
  • Growth has leaned on services and on a few capital-heavy sectors (refining, chemicals, autos), which employ fewer workers per crore of value added.

Jobless growth is therefore not a mystery of GDP. It is a manufacturing path that saves labour.

Flow diagram

flowchart TD
  G[Manufacturing output] --> K[Capital automation]
  G --> I[Import competition]
  G --> S[Skill mismatch]
  K --> E[Low employment elasticity]
  I --> E
  S --> E
  E --> J[Jobless growth]

Conclusion

Employment elasticity stagnated because manufacturing chose capital, contract labour, and import-competing product mix. Output can rise while factory jobs stay flat unless labour-intensive lines and skills expand.

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