Q1(e) · UPSC Civil Services Mains 2019 · Sociology GS 1 · 10 marks · 1 min read

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Explain the probability sampling strategies with examples

Topic: Sociology. Syllabus: Sociology — The Discipline: Modernity and social changes in Europe and emergence of sociology; Scope of the subject and comparison with other social sciences; Sociology and common sense. Same official PYQ from year-wise 2019 and Sociology.

Revision summary

Probability sampling: known chance of selection and estimable error. Simple random, systematic, stratified, cluster, and multistage PPS are the toolkit. NFHS and NSSO are Indian illustrations. A missing frame blocks the method. Quota and snowball are not probability designs.

Model answer

Copper italics in this answer — like this — are the key facts. Each one is unpacked in the Facts & figures rail.

Introduction

Probability sampling gives every unit a known, non-zero chance of selection. It supports estimates of error. It is the design behind the Census sample surveys and NFHS, not behind a college queue.

Body

Simple random and systematic

  • Simple random sampling draws from a complete frame, as in a lottery of listed households.
  • Systematic sampling takes every k-th unit after a random start. It fails if the list has a hidden period.

Stratified and cluster

  • Stratified sampling draws within sex, region, or rural–urban strata so rare groups are not missed. NFHS stratifies.
  • Cluster sampling draws villages or blocks first, then households. It cuts cost and raises design effect.

Multistage and PPS

  • Multistage combines clusters. The Indian NSSO and NFHS use stages from region to household.
  • Probability proportional to size gives large villages a higher chance, then weights restore the estimate.

Example and limit

  • A voter list can frame a city ward. Informal pavement workers often have no list, so probability design needs a mapped area sample.

Flow diagram

flowchart TD
  FRAME[Sampling frame] --> PR[Known chance]
  PR --> SRS[Simple random]
  PR --> ST[Stratified]
  PR --> CL[Cluster multistage]
  CL --> NFHS[NFHS NSSO]

Conclusion

Simple random, systematic, stratified, cluster, and multistage PPS are the main probability strategies. NFHS and NSSO illustrate them. Without a frame, the strategy cannot start. State the chance; do not call a quota a random sample.

Quick related

Students also ask

  • According to Mead, "We play a key role in our own socialization."

    Next question on this syllabus topic (2019 · Q2(a)). View answer →

  • Is the full Census a sample?

    The complete count is a census. Many Census tables also rest on samples of the long form.

  • Why cluster if it is less precise?

    Travel cost. Design weights and larger samples try to buy back precision.

Same topic · past papers

UPSC has asked this before

These previous-year questions sit on the same topic. Open one to practise the earlier ask.

  1. 2022 · Q2(b) · Sociology GS 1 · 15 marks

    Explain the different types of non- probability sampling techniques .Bring out the conditions of their usage with appropriate examples.

    View answer →

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