Correct answer: (d) Neither 1 nor 2
Explanation
- A
1 only
(a) 1 only. A falling tax–GDP ratio can occur even in a growing economy if collections lag, rates are cut, or the base is eroded. It does not by itself prove a slowing growth rate, so statement 1 is not a safe inference and (a) is not the key.
- B
2 only
(b) 2 only. Tax–GDP is an aggregate of collections to output. It says nothing necessary about how national income is shared; equity needs Gini or tax-progressivity data. Statement 2 is therefore not established.
- C
Both 1 and 2
(c) Both 1 and 2. Neither slowing growth nor less equal distribution is a necessary reading of a lower tax–GDP ratio. Both statements fail.
- D
Neither 1 nor 2
(d) Neither 1 nor 2. Tax–GDP can fall because of policy cuts, exemptions, evasion or a shift in the composition of GDP, without growth slowing and without a verdict on equity. That is why neither statement follows, and (d) is the official key.
Summary. Official key is (d) Neither 1 nor 2. A lower tax-to-GDP ratio is an arithmetic ratio of tax take to output. It need not mean growth has slowed, and it need not mean income has become less equal. Other causes—rate cuts, a narrower base, or collection lags—can move the ratio. UPSC therefore rejects both inferences.
Same topic · past papers
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